Posts Tagged Risk

Developing your own FMEA

Yesterday I wrote about developing a more comprehensive plan for risk and contingency using the FMEA program.  The challenge is that FMEA was developed for the Ford Company. How would you apply this in your company when maybe the cost of life, and the other categories do not apply?

 Come up with your own three categories, but apply the same logic.

 One category addresses how often the problem may occur.  Create a scale of 1 to 10, with 10 happening very frequently (every day), and 1 happening once in the lifetime of the project.

 The second category addresses how easy it is to detect.  Detectability is important to use because something that is very dangerous and impossible to detect (and occurs frequently) could destroy not only your product, but also your company (not to mention harm lives).  Once again, create a scale from 1 to 10 that shows at each point what that detectability might mean. 1 might mean that it will be detected as soon as the problem occurs.  10 might mean that it would only be detected much later after the part breaks in the effect the breakage creates on other parts or other elements of the business.

 The third category is typically the cost.  If your part does not affect lives, then look at it as cost in replacement, or cost in lost sales, or cost in repairs. Once again, create your own scale to represent 1 being a very low cost and 10 having significant impact to your company (possible shutting the company or product line down permanently).  Of course, if it does affect human life, 10 means death, and 9 means serious injury.

 This approach is relatively simple and lends itself to directing the efforts and resources of the company. Furthermore, it creates a quantitative list that shows that you are thinking about how to manage your resources carefully. It shows a level of management skill that investors hope you have. Finally, this tool allows you to communicate that you are being proactive and are developing systems to manage the company through rough times (which WILL happen).

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The advanced risk and contingency plan: FMEA

Yesterday, I briefly introduced the risk and contingency plan. Today I want to discuss the slightly more advanced and more proactive version.

Ford Co invested something called FMEA, which stands for Failure Mode Engineering Analysis. It is a way to manage the prevention and development of proactive containment of problems. After problems are listed and before solutions developed they are ranked in three areas from 1 to 10. The areas are frequency of occurrence (more likely the higher the number), detectability (harder to detect, the higher the number), and the cost. Cost could be in money or human life or both with the higher the likelihood the higher the number.

These three numbers are multiplied together and then all the problems ranked. The higher ones are addressed first in prevention or in developing containment systems. The exceptions to the ranking are that anything with a cost of life of 9 or 10 are automatically put to the top.

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Risk and Contingency Plans made simple

What is a risk and contingency plan?

Simple answer:
It is a list of preventions and alternatives to expected and unexpected problems.

The simplest way to do this is to make a table with three columns. In the first column you list everything that could go wrong with your project. In the second column you show for each problem the steps you are taking to prevent that from happening. In the third column you show what you do when it happens.

This simple device is a great way to show people (customers, vendors, investors, all stakeholders, etc.) that you are on top of the situation, plan ahead, and ultimately, are the right person to make their product. Surprisingly, very few people do this. Instead, they react to problems. Reactions often waste time and money and go down the wrong path.

Be proactive and come up with your own risk and contingency plan.

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